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Trump’s Joy, A Global Catastrophe

Exclusive Analysis by AndyGuangzhou | Unauthorized reproduction and translation are strictly prohibited.

When Donald Trump declared from the White House and campaign rallies—with the triumphant air of a victor—that “America has won,” “the war ended in the first hour,” and “we have effectively destroyed Iran”—the smile on his lips was built atop the ruins of bloodshed in the Middle East, the collapse of global order, and the upheaval of the world economy. This “joy” is never a dawn of peace, but an orgy of hegemonism, a catastrophe for all human civilization .

I. The Orgy of Hegemony: Trump’s “Joy” Tramples Life and Rules

Trump’s joy stems from blind faith in military force and reckless violation of other nations’ sovereignty. In 2020, he ordered a drone strike to assassinate Qasem Soleimani, commander of Iran’s Quds Force, flouting international law and state sovereignty and igniting regional turmoil. In 2026, he again joined Israel in launching sustained airstrikes on Iran’s nuclear facilities and military targets, claiming “uninterrupted strikes will last a week or longer”—turning war into a political bargaining chip and personal political achievement.

He boasted at rallies that “U.S. forces sank 58 Iranian naval vessels” and casually remarked from the White House that “the war won’t take long to end.” This cold “joy” masks countless civilian casualties, shattered families, and ruined cities across the Middle East. Following strikes on multiple Iranian cities, hospitals overflowed, infrastructure collapsed, and the humanitarian crisis spiraled. Anti-American sentiment surged across the Middle East; regional armed groups vowed retaliation, and the flames of war spread from Iran to the entire Gulf, with U.S. military bases and diplomatic missions becoming targets.

Worse still, Trump weaponizes war to blackmail allies: threatening to withdraw from NATO to coerce Europe into joining escort missions, turning regional conflict into transatlantic rifts; using “larger-scale strikes” to force Iran into humiliating agreements, seeking to completely dismantle Iran’s nuclear capabilities and defense systems. This logic of bullying the weak and putting oneself above all else is an outright betrayal of the UN Charter and a total tearing of the international order .

II. The Noose of Energy: The Hormuz Crisis, A Cataclysm for the Global Economy

Trump’s “joy” is tightening the noose around the global economy’s throat. The Strait of Hormuz carries roughly one-quarter of the world’s seaborne oil trade, plus massive volumes of LNG and fertilizer—truly the “world’s energy lifeline.” As U.S.-Iran tensions erupted, Iran retaliated by threatening to block the strait and targeting oil tankers; Brent crude surged from around $70 per barrel to nearly $120, a jump of over 70%.

- A tsunami of inflation sweeps the globe
Skyrocketing oil prices directly push up global inflation. Capital Economics forecasts that oil breaking $100 will lift average global inflation by 0.6–0.7 percentage points. The already fragile global recovery is derailed; central banks are forced to delay rate cuts or even restart hikes, corporate financing costs soar, and consumer and investment confidence collapses.
- Global supply chains collapse
Tanker freight and war insurance premiums skyrocket, doubling shipping costs. Global supply chains—from energy to manufactured goods, food, and fertilizers—are paralyzed. Disrupted energy exports from the Middle East leave Europe, Asia, and other importers facing shortages; industrial production stalls, living costs surge, and poverty and hunger spread.
- The foundation of dollar hegemony shakes
The petrodollar system is the backbone of U.S. dollar dominance . With GCC nations unable to export oil, their dollar-earning capacity is cut off, and their massive holdings of U.S. Treasuries and equities face a funding crunch, exposing U.S. financial markets to systemic risk. The global de-dollarization process accelerates, plunging the international monetary order into chaos.

The World Bank and IMF have repeatedly warned that a prolonged U.S.-Iran conflict will trigger “the worst oil crisis in years.” A weeks-long closure of the Strait of Hormuz would push the global economy directly into recession. Trump’s war revelry is dragging the world economy into a stagflationary abyss .

III. The Collapse of Order: From Regional Turmoil to Global Division, A Retreat of Civilization

Trump’s “joy” is the catalyst for the collapse of the global geopolitical order. This conflict, instigated by the U.S., has long transcended bilateral U.S.-Iran tensions, evolving into regional bloc confrontation and a global realignment of power:

- The Middle East descends into full-scale chaos
Rivalry intensifies between the anti-U.S. bloc (Iran, Syria, Hezbollah) and the U.S.-Israel-GCC axis. Situations in Yemen, Iraq, Lebanon, and elsewhere deteriorate further; terrorist forces exploit the chaos, and regional peace processes are completely derailed.
- International alliances fragment
NATO splits openly over Iran policy; Europe refuses to foot the bill for U.S. war, deepening transatlantic rifts. The UN mechanism fails, the Security Council becomes a battlefield for great-power games, and multilateralism faces unprecedented assault .
- The nuclear non-proliferation regime unravels
U.S. airstrikes on Iran’s nuclear facilities completely destroy the JCPOA. Iran announces it will abandon nuclear constraints and accelerate uranium enrichment. Regional nations are forced to reconsider nuclear options, sharply raising proliferation risks and bringing humanity closer to nuclear catastrophe.
- Humanitarian disaster spreads
War displaces millions of Iranian civilians; refugee surges emerge across the Gulf. Medical supplies, food, and medicine run short, with children and the elderly bearing the brunt. U.S. comprehensive sanctions combined with military strikes create one of the worst humanitarian crises in modern history.

IV. A Warning from History: The Orgy of Hegemony Ends in Civilization’s Elegy

From the assassination of Soleimani to today’s full-scale airstrikes, Trump’s war logic remains unchanged: resolve everything with force, place hegemony above rules, and trade other nations’ suffering for personal political gain. His “joy” is indifference to life, trampling of peace, and betrayal of humanity’s common interests.

History has proven time and again that order sustained by war and hegemony is a castle in the air. Decades of U.S. wars in the Middle East left only devastation and endless hatred; the U.S. itself sank into quagmires, draining its national strength and ruining its credibility. Now Trump reignites the flames, merely repeating past mistakes and dragging the U.S. and the world into deeper crisis.

Trump’s joy is the revelry of a few, a catastrophe for all humanity. As war burns in the Middle East, oil prices surge worldwide, and order trembles on the brink of collapse, we must wake up:

Hegemonism has no winners.
War only brings destruction.

Only by abandoning power politics, returning to multilateralism, and resolving disputes through dialogue and negotiation can we safeguard peace and development, and protect humanity’s shared future .